Quick Maths
The first key pattern comes from simple arithmetic. Since the 1985 expansion to 64 teams, when a team with three losses has won the title, it has always been part of a sequence: either before or after, teams with two or four losses have also won. This shows a streak involving consecutive numbers.
In 1994, THREE-loss Arkansas won the title, preceded by FOUR-loss UNC and followed by two-loss UCLA. 4-3-2.
In 2008, THREE-loss Kansas won the title. They were followed by FOUR-loss UNC and FIVE-loss Duke. 3-4-5.
In 2019, THREE-loss Virginia won the title. They were preceded by FOUR-loss Villanova and followed by TWO-loss Baylor. 4-3-2.
Looking to 2026, the trend continues: three-loss Connecticut won in 2024, and four-loss Florida most recently. According to the pattern, a five-loss team should be next.
Now we know the winner will either be Connecticut, Saint Mary's, McNeese, Virginia, Saint Louis, or Akron.
It's my Turn!
Channeling the spirit of the famous Skip Bayless meme, the next clue also comes from sequencing. In this case, every time four successive champions come from four different regions, the following champion is always a four-loss team, then a five-loss team.
With multiple numbers pointing to the number five, that suggests the champion will be significant in some way to five.
Five Out
It has been five tournaments since an ACC team won the tournament, and which ACC team is the only one in the tournament with five losses? Virginia.
Then consider that a Virginia win would mark the fifth time a program starting with the letter V has won the championship.
Bonus
This century, only one team has lost back-to-back finals: Butler in 2010 and 2011. Where did that second final take place? Houston, Texas. Do with that information what you will.